It’s Election Day for the pivotal 2026 midterms that will determine control of U.S. Congress - and a bunch of people are trying to make money by betting on the outcome. As of Monday (Nov. 2) at 8 p.m.

The seven races have experienced significant market movement throughout the final weeks of the midterm campaign, particularly as Democrats have gained ground in traditionally Republican states. While the four Democratic selections carry market-implied chances above 70%,

Explore Donald Trump's impact on the 2026 midterms, including prediction market odds, approval ratings, impeachment forecasts, and policy consequences.

Predictions suggest that Democrats could retake the House and Senate, but polling in some states has historically underestimated Republican support.

Polymarket US: Buy and sell outcome shares on high-volume political markets. Enter promo code CHECK to earn a $25 trading bonus after your first $10 deposit and trade (currently unavailable to Nevada residents). Democrats, at about 98% on Kalshi and Polymarket as of November 3.

Prediction markets are increasingly favouring Democrats to take control of both chambers of the US Congress in Tuesday's midterm elections, with traders on Kalshi giving the party a 74% chance of winning the Senate and a 94% probability of securing the ...

Claim the best prediction market promos for Election Night 2026. Compare prediction market promos from top prediction market sites before polls close.

The US dollar weakened after Democrats made gains against President Donald Trump’s Republicans in the 2026 midterm elections, dealing a blow to Trump.

Two Ps in a pod: the consensus means both are right or wrong. On November 3, they'll both face a major credibility test.